IntermediateHitting · Pitching

Chase%

Chase Rate

How often a hitter swings at pitches outside the strike zone.

30.5%2026 MLB average (2025: 28.2%)

Simple explanation

Swinging at a pitch outside the zone rarely produces good contact, and laying off it means a ball. A hitter who keeps chasing gives the pitcher no reason to throw him strikes.

Lower is better for hitters, higher is better for pitchers. A pitcher with a high chase rate is good at throwing pitches that look like strikes and then aren't.

Benchmarks

22.1%
Top 10%
30.3%
Median
38.0%
Bottom 10%

From the hitter's side. Distribution of the 135 qualified hitters in 2026.

Detailed explanation

Chase% = swings at pitches outside the zone ÷ pitches outside the zone

The math is the same as FanGraphs' O-Swing%. Each data source draws the zone a little differently, though, so the two sites' numbers don't quite match.

League chase rate rose to 30.5% in 2026 from 28.2% in 2025, while the share of pitches in the zone dropped from 50.6% to 47.5%.

Laying off pitches outside the zone isn't enough if a hitter also takes everything inside it, because he falls behind in the count. That's why it gets read alongside the rate of swings at pitches in the zone (Z-Swing%).

Sources

  1. FanGraphs Library · Plate Discipline
  2. Baseball Savant · 2026 league averages
  3. Baseball Savant · 2026 custom leaderboard (qualified hitters)
Next term, Plate DisciplineWhiff%Whiff Rate