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IntermediateHitting

wOBA

Weighted On-Base Average

An on-base average that weights each way of reaching base, from a walk or single up to a home run, by how many runs it's actually worth.

.3162026 MLB average

Simple explanation

OPS (on-base plus slugging) leaves the gap between a single and a home run to the slugging formula, which counts a single as 1 and a homer as 4. In real games, one home run doesn't produce as many runs as four singles.

wOBA instead weights each result by how many runs it produced on average in real games. It's scaled to look like on-base percentage, so you can read it the same way. At .340 you have a good hitter, and at .400 the MVP talk starts.

Benchmarks

.290
Poor
.340
Good hitter
.370
Upper tier
.400
MVP level

Detailed explanation

wOBA = (wBB×uBB + wHBP×HBP + w1B×1B + w2B×2B + w3B×3B + wHR×HR) ÷ (AB + BB − IBB + SF + HBP)

uBB
unintentional walks (walks minus intentional walks)
w○
run weight for each result (changes every season)
IBB
intentional walks
SF
sacrifice flies

The weights come from a run expectancy table, which lists how many runs score on average over the rest of an inning for every mix of outs and baserunners. For each result you find how much it raised run expectancy on average, compare that with the value of an out, and then stretch the numbers so the league's wOBA matches its on-base percentage.

They're recalculated for every league and season. In recent MLB seasons they've hovered around 0.7 for a walk, 0.9 for a single, 1.25 for a double, 1.6 for a triple and 2.0 for a home run. Intentional walks don't count, since the pitcher chose to give them away.

Common misconception

“The wOBA weights are fixed constants.”

They move whenever the run environment shifts. FanGraphs publishes a separate set of weights for each season.

Across leagues

KBO and NPBThe formula doesn't change, but each league scores runs at its own rate, so the weights have to be worked out league by league. MLB weights applied to KBO numbers give the wrong answer.

Sources

  1. FanGraphs Library · wOBA
  2. FanGraphs · Guts (weights by season)
Next term, HittingwRC+Weighted Runs Created Plus